Resumen
Este artículo muestra que los partidos tradicionales de la región Andina sufrieron declives electorales durante las últimas dos décadas (1990-2010). Aunque esta situación se presentó de manera generalizada, no todos los partidos perdieron la misma proporción de votos, ni al mismo ritmo. Mientras algunos de ellos se volvieron actores marginales o colapsaron, otros sobrevivieron y algunos incrementaron sus votaciones. Acá se sugiere que las estructuras organizativas internas de los partidos importan. Éstas son variables independientes que explican las diversas trayectorias electorales. Esta hipótesis complementa conclusiones de otros estudios que sugieren que las variables estructurales y políticas son las que inciden en los resultados electorales. Trabajos futuros en la materia deben probar empíricamente esta idea.
Palabras Clave: Países andinos, América del Sur, democracia, Partidos políticos, elecciones.
ABSTRACT
Crisis in the party systems and parties in the Andean Region, 1978- 2010. Explanations and Prospects
This article shows that traditional parties in the Andean region suffered electoral declines during the last two decades (1990-2010). Although this situation occurred as a generalized phenomenon, not all parties lost votes to the same extent, nor at the same pace. While some parties became marginal actors or collapsed, others survived and a few increased their levels of electoral support. In this paper I argue that the internal organizations of parties matter. They are independent variables that explain the diverse electoral trajectories among parties. This hypothesis complements other studies’ findings that argue that structural and political variables are those that impact parties’ electoral outcomes. Future works on this topic shall test this idea empirically.
Key Words: Andean countries, South America, democracy, political parties, elections.
Referencias
Abal Medina, Juan y Suárez Cao, Julieta, 2003, “Análisis crítico del sistema
electoral argentino. Evolución histórica y desempeño efectivo”, en Revista de Ciencias Sociales, número 14, pp. 121-150.
Alcántara Sáez, Manuel y Freidenberg, Flavia, 2003, Partidos políticos de América Latina. Países andinos, México, D. F., Fondo de Cultura Económica.
Banco Mundial, 2007, World Development Indicators, Washington D.C, disponible en http://data.worldbank.org/data-catalog/world-development-indicators
Burgess, Katrina, 1999, “Loyalty Dilemmas and Market Reform: Party-union
alliance under stress in Mexico, Spain, and Venezuela”, en World Politics, vol. 52, número1, pp. 105-134.
Carey, John M., y Polga-Hecimovich, John, 2006, “Primary Elections and
Candidate Strength in Latin America”, en Journal of Politics, vol. 68, número 3, pp. 530-543.
Coppedge, Michael, 1994, Strong Parties and Lame Ducks. Presidential Partyarchy and Factionalism in Venezuela, Stanford, Stanford University Press.
Crisp, Brian, 2000, Democratic Institutional Design. The Powers and Incentives of Venezuelan Politicians and Interest Groups, Stanford, Stanford University Press.
----------, 2006, “The Nature of Representation in Andean Legislatures and Attempts at Institutional Engineering”, en Mainwaring, S.; Bejarano, A. M. y Leongómez, E. P., ed., The Crisis of Democratic Representation in the Andes, Stanford, Stanford University Press.
Crisp, Brian y Ingall, Rachael E., 2002, “Institutional Engineering and the Nature of Representation: Mapping the Effects of Electoral Reform in Colombia”, en American Journal of Political Science, vol. 46, número 4, pp. 733-748.
Huber, Evelyn y Solt, Fred, 2004, “Successes and Failures of Neoliberalism”, en Latin American Research Review, vol. 39, número 3.
Levitsky, Steven, 2003, Transforming labor-based Parties in Latin America: Argentine Peronism in Comparative Perspective, New York, Cambridge University Press.
Lora, Eduardo y Panizza, Ugo, 2002, “Structural Reforms in Latin America under Scrutiny”, en Research Paper, Inter-American Development Bank, Washington D. C.
Mainwaring, S.; Bejarano, A. M. y Leongómez, E. P., ed., 2006, The Crisis of Democratic Representation in the Andes, Stanford, Stanford University Press.
Mainwaring, Scott y Scully, Timothy, 1995, Building Democratic Institutions. Party Systems in Latin America, Stanford, Stanford University Press.
Mair, Peter, 1997, Party System Change: Approaches and Interpretations, Oxford, Clarendon Press, Oxford University Press.
Mayorga, René Antonio, 2008, “Outsiders políticos y neopopulismo: el camino a la democracia plebiscitaria”, en La crisis de la representación democrática en los países andinos, Bogotá, Grupo Editorial Norma.
Nohlen, Dieter, ed., 2005, Elections in the Americas: A Data Handbook, New York, Oxford University Press.
O’Neill, Kathleen, 2005, Decentralizing the State. Elections, Parties, and Local Power in the Andes, New York, Cambridge University Press.
Pachano, Simón, 2009, “Ecuador: la provincialización de la representación”, en La crisis de la representación democrática en los países andinos, Bogotá, Grupo Editorial Norma.
Pérez-Liñán, Aníbal y Wills Otero, Laura, 2006, “La evolución de los sistemas electorales en América, 1900-2004”, en Revista Colección, número 16.
Pizarro Leongómez, Eduardo, 1996, “La crisis de los partidos y los partidos en la crisis” en Leal, F., ed., Tras las huellas de la crisis política, Bogotá, Tercer Mundo Editores/Fescol/Iepri.
Portes, Alejandro y Hoffman, Kelly, 2003, “Latin American Class Structure: Their Composition and Change During the Neoliberal Era”, en Latin American Research Review, vol. 38, número, 1 pp. 41-82.
Queirolo Velasco, María del Rosario, 2006, “The Impact of Neoliberal Economic Reforms on Latin Americans’ Voting Behavior (1980-2004)”, Ph. D. Dissertation, Department of Political Science, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh.
Roberts, Kenneth y Wibbels, Erik, 1999, “Party Systems and Electoral Volatility in Latin America: A Test of Economic, Institutional and Structural Explanations”,en American Political Science Review vol. 93, número 3, pp. 575-589.
Rodrik, Dani, 2006, Goodbye Washington Consensus, Hello Washington Confusion?, Boston, Harvard University.
Tanaka, Martin, 2006, “From Crisis to Collapse of the Party Systems and Dilemmasof Democratic Representation: Peru and Venezuela”, en Mainwaring, S.; Bejarano, A. M. y Leongómez, E. P., ed., 2006, The Crisis of Democratic Representation in the Andes, Stanford, Stanford University Press.
Wills Otero, Laura. 2010. “Latin American Traditional Parties. The Impact of Parties”. Internal Features on their Electoral Performance, 1978-2006”, Ph. D. Dissertation, Department of Political Science, University of Pittsburgh,
Pittsburgh.